Joel Embiid Surges Ahead of Nikola Jokic in NBA MVP Race

In early January, Milwaukee Bucks center Giannis Antetokounmpo and Boston Celtics forward Jayson Tatum were both +500 odds and tied for third in the MVP race. Embiid was fifth overall at +1400 odds but made a huge jump in the last three months to -240.

Tatum is currently an MVP long shot at +1000 odds, and Dončić is a moon shot at +50000 odds.

Embiid took over the lead for the scoring title by averaging 33.6 points per game this season. He s been , averaging 36.2 points, 9.5 rebounds, 4.2 assists, and 2.4 blocks per game. He has the second-best PER rating in the NBA at 31.60.

Embiid dropped 42 points against the New Orleans Pelicans in the first game of 2023, which set a tone for the 76ers. They went 27-9 since the start of the new year, including a 14-4 clip over their last 18 games.

The 76ers defeated the Nuggets in late January, but it was a statement game for Embiid, who exploded for 47 points, 18 rebounds, three steals, and two blocks. It wasn t a coincidence that his best performance of the season occurred against the reigning MVP Jokic.

Embiid believes he got cheated out of the MVP last season. He had a strong argument as to why, but voters rewarded Jokic because the Nuggets were ravished with injuries. After a speculator run in March, Embiid jumped to the top of the awards board, which is why he s the favorite to win his first MVP at -240 odds.

Jokic averages 24.7 points, 11.9 rebounds, and 9.9 assists per game this season. He s ranked #2 in the league in rebounds and fourth in assists. He leads the NBA with a 31.71 PER rating and is on pace to lead the league in that advanced metric for the third consecutive season.

Jokic s scoring and rebounds are down this season compared to last season s career highs of 27.1 points and 13.8 rebounds per game. His assists are up this year, with a career-best 9.9 dishes per game. He s also shooting better than last season in all three categories, with a career-high 63.4% from the floor, 39.4% from 3-point range, and 81.8% from the free-throw line.

Jokic is a triple-double machine leading the NBA with 28 this season. He tallied more triple-doubles than the next three players combined (27).

If Jokic wins the MVP, he ll become the 10th player in NBA history to win the prestigious honor at least three times. Only three players won the MVP in three consecutive seasons. If Jokic can pull off that rare feat, he ll join an exclusive club that includes Bill Russell, Wilt Chamberlain, and Larry Bird.

Jokic saw his MVP odds dip to +250, coinciding with a horrendous slump by the Nuggets, who went 1-5 in early March.

The Nuggets were far ahead of everyone else in the Western Conference and , but they let their foot off the gas in recent weeks. They still hold a 3.5-game lead over the Memphis Grizzlies, but they ve been playing their worst ball of the season.